Questions tagged [probability]
deals with computing probabilities for many commonly occurring events in the game of poker
115 questions
Score of 1
1 answer
210 views
How often will the board allow a low hand to be played in Omaha High Low Split 8 Or Better?
In Omaha High Low Split 8 Or Better half of the pot is played for by attempting to make the "worst" hand possible using A/2/3/4/5/7/8 cards, where flushes and straights don't matter and ...
- reputation score 123
Score of 1
0 answers
102 views
How many players to consider for probability calculation
if I play on a table with 6 players, websites like https://www.omnicalculator.com/other/poker-odds ask you for the number of opponents.
What should I fill in there, the number of opponents initially ...
- reputation score 111
Score of 0
0 answers
70 views
How often are the 5 community cards the best hand?
Can we calculate the probability that the 5 community cards are the best hand, i.e., that all remaining players chop the pot? I imagine that this probability drops as the number of players increases.
- reputation score 123
Score of 0
1 answer
534 views
Probability of getting 3 of a kind by at least the river (assuming unpaired hand)
Here's the question: Assuming an unpaired hand of 2 cards in poker (2 & 10, 3 & Q, NOT A&A), what is the probability of having 3 of a kind after all 5 community cards have been dealt?
My ...
- reputation score 3
Score of 0
0 answers
41 views
NLH Probablility of Drawing a hand
When dealt 5 cards from a deck the probabilities of seeing a str8 flush, 4 of kind, full house, flush, str8, 3 of kind, two pair, pair, or high card are well known and easily computed: str8 flush ....
- reputation score 1
Score of -1
2 answers
544 views
This is a probability question which will require an expert mathematician's expertise. Below is the criteria
Eight handed Texas Hold-em game using a 52 card deck.
This is a 3 1/2 hour session in which there were 105 hands of poker played.
One Individual achieved the following four poker hands.
A. Quad Eights
...
- reputation score 7
Score of -1
2 answers
656 views
How to calculate the probability of flopping four of a kind with no pocket pair?
My hand is any 2 cards that do not have the same rank. What is the probability of flopping a four of a kind?
The formula I used is:
(2 c 1)(3 c 3) / (50 c 3)
c = chooses
2 c 1 - We have 2 ranks in ...
- reputation score 1
Score of 0
1 answer
255 views
Unpaired hand vs probability that the opponent has a pocket pair
My question is the following :
What is the probability of facing a pocket pair (preflop phase) with an off-suit hand?
I made some calculations considering a single adversary. I display them here.
...
- reputation score 103
Score of 1
2 answers
444 views
Does 7 card poker hand odds change if i know 2 of the cards? If so how?
In Wikipedia, it shows that the Pair probability for 7-card poker hand is 43.8%.
After that 2 card is dealt to me, lets say Ace of Spades and 7 of Diamonds, does knowing these 2 cards effect the ...
- reputation score 11
Score of 2
1 answer
1286 views
What are the odds of drawing a seven card straight flush
I had the unbelievable experience of drawing a seven-card straight flush while playing with five other players with one deck. The hand started with the ace of spades and ended with the seven of ...
- reputation score 21
Score of 1
4 answers
410 views
What would be the most transparent way to show a fair shuffle literally possible?
I want to make an ios app, for fun to improve my dev skills, to do what no other app/poker site has done and be completely transparent.
I just want to match casinos shuffling as imperfect as that may ...
- reputation score 11
Score of 1
2 answers
320 views
What is the probabilty that any of your opponents has any one of a specific set of hands?
I'm creating a database of all choices of 7 cards out of 52. It's quite flexible because it allows to compare choices like:
MyHand+FLOP+TURN+RIVER and OpponentsHand+FLOP+TURN+RIVER
and tell whether my ...
- reputation score 111
Score of 1
1 answer
391 views
Introduction to Probability with Texas Hold’em Examples #5
You are playing a hand of poker against one individual. Your hole cards are 8♦, 2♦ and your opponent’s hole cards are K♣, Q♣. The four cards on the table after the flop and the turn are J♦, 9♦, T♠, 5♥...
- reputation score 11
Score of -1
1 answer
193 views
Introduction to Probability with Texas Hold’em Example #4
Suppose in a tournament with only three players left, first place receives $6,000, second place receives $3,000, and third place receives $500. You have a 32% chance of winning first place, 30% chance ...
- reputation score 11
Score of 1
0 answers
485 views
How likely is a full house on a paired board vs. a double paired board?
Recently I had a situation where I made a flush on the turn but my opponent made a full house on the river. The board was J5566 so it wasn't too difficult for anyone to make a full house in this case (...
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